Arg-11
The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
题目翻译:
M郡议会十分担心M郡过度开发,正在讨论一项阻止开发本郡现有耕地的提议。但议会当局也同样担心这样通过限制新房供地的举措导致M的房价大幅上涨。提议的赞成者们指出C郡十年前实行了类似的举措,房价在那之后涨幅适中。然而提议的反对者们认为P郡十五年前对新住宅的建设发展进行了限制,那里的房价随后翻倍。M郡议会预计如果提议通过,M郡的房价会大幅上涨。